Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.238782 1.395423 1.566450 1.767402 1.997499 2.253259 2.559794
2026-01-25 0.988768 1.193202 1.434130 1.740405 2.121348 2.582094 3.185378
2026-02-01 0.800183 1.019396 1.293865 1.665603 2.160286 2.802001 3.707334
2026-02-08 0.675144 0.899559 1.195069 1.617268 2.212448 3.032712 4.268237
2026-02-15 0.585520 0.810561 1.119979 1.582989 2.269490 3.267690 4.862155
2026-02-22 0.539806 0.774032 1.109199 1.632866 2.447099 3.692947 5.798744
2026-03-01 0.493645 0.730004 1.080324 1.649053 2.571807 4.050296 6.681901
2026-03-08 0.442954 0.672744 1.023880 1.613374 2.606392 4.264007 7.354666
2026-03-15 0.399184 0.621066 0.969637 1.573030 2.625164 4.449450 8.001908
2026-03-22 0.383376 0.611740 0.981100 1.641558 2.836372 4.994324 9.399245
2026-03-29 0.365499 0.596910 0.981376 1.689837 3.016297 5.505763 10.819933
2026-04-05 0.347265 0.579479 0.975039 1.724770 3.174715 5.996939 12.285333
2026-04-12 0.326425 0.556764 0.959255 1.744495 3.314759 6.489233 13.887964
2026-04-19 0.300782 0.523274 0.921133 1.718049 3.361279 6.801547 15.162903
2026-04-26 0.271603 0.480718 0.862268 1.644382 3.301310 6.879719 15.909264
2026-05-03 0.248944 0.448165 0.818982 1.596759 3.289650 7.061705 16.948575
2026-05-10 0.230320 0.421544 0.784458 1.562974 3.303161 7.302356 18.189687
2026-05-17 0.222768 0.415441 0.789284 1.612153 3.508646 8.025910 20.880332
2026-05-24 0.212279 0.402610 0.779339 1.628114 3.639595 8.590565 23.267832
2026-05-31 0.197674 0.380304 0.747962 1.592939 3.643863 8.836843 24.789333
2026-06-07 0.183951 0.358687 0.716110 1.553163 3.631523 9.038193 26.225630
2026-06-14 0.180820 0.358670 0.729954 1.620726 3.898224 10.034508 30.434935
2026-06-21 0.176079 0.354839 0.735145 1.668322 4.120620 10.950092 34.643308